APPLICATION OF MACHINE LEARNING APPROACHES FOR PREDICTION AND CLASSIFICATION OF ADVERSE DRUG REACTIONS IN PHARMACOVIGILANCE
Abstract
Adverse drug reactions remain a major concern in pharmacovigilance because they contribute to patient morbidity, treatment interruption, hospitalization, and increased healthcare burden. This study aimed to apply machine learning approaches for the prediction and classification of adverse drug reactions as serious or non-serious using primary quantitative data. A cross-sectional study design was adopted, and data were collected from 300 participants using a structured adverse drug reaction assessment form. Information on demographic characteristics, clinical profile, medication history, drug class, route of administration, number of concomitant medicines, reaction type, causality, severity, seriousness, and outcome was obtained. The collected data were cleaned, coded, and analyzed using descriptive statistics and supervised machine learning algorithms, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Gradient Boosting. Model performance was assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, specificity, F1-score, and ROC-AUC. Gastrointestinal reactions were the most common adverse drug reactions, and 27.3% of cases were classified as serious. Serious reactions were significantly associated with age, comorbidity, polypharmacy, parenteral drug administration, and ADR severity. Random Forest showed the best performance, with an accuracy of 0.89 and an ROC-AUC of 0.92. The findings suggest that machine learning, particularly ensemble-based models, may support early ADR seriousness classification and strengthen pharmacovigilance decisionmaking.
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